Greg C. Wright

Associate Professor & Chair, Economics · UC Merced
Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Brookings

I am an Associate Professor and Chair of Economics at UC Merced, where I study labor markets, immigration, and the economics of innovation. I received my Ph.D. in Economics from UC Davis and B.A. from UC Berkeley.

Greg C. Wright
State Capacity and Clean Energy Investment
2026

Federal permitting outcomes depend not just on legal standards but on the administrative capacity of the agencies that apply them. Comparing solar projects near the same Army Corps of Engineers district boundary but assigned to different regulatory offices, I find that a one-standard-deviation increase in non-energy office workload delays final queue resolution by three to five months without changing whether projects ultimately build. Within the border sample, the implied capacity-time cost is 3.7–5.8 gigawatt-years of delayed solar capacity worth $411–$630 million.

Data Centers and Local Labor Markets
With Dany Bahar  ·  2026

Data centers are one of the largest categories of place-based capital investment in the United States, with states spending $1.6 billion annually in tax incentives to attract them. Using a novel dataset of 770 dated facilities linked to county-level employment data (2003–2024), we find that data centers increase information sector employment by 22 percent and total private employment by 4–5 percent over six years, with effects driven entirely by hyperscale (cloud/AI) facilities.

The Missing Margin: Internal Mobility and the Measurement of Monopsony Power
2026

Standard monopsony estimates rely on external separations, but firms also suppress internal mobility—promotions and raises—when workers cannot credibly threaten to leave. Using LinkedIn career histories matched to H-1B visa records, I show that visa constraints reduce internal mobility by 58–65 percent, implying that external-only estimates understate welfare costs by 33–39 percent.

New Innovation Horizons: When Employees Become Entrepreneurs Work in Progress
A Rising Tide? The Local Incidence of the Second Wave of Globalization
With Rowena Gray  ·  Journal of International Economics, March 2024, Vol. 148

We estimate the short- and long-run local labor market impacts of the large increase in U.S. imports and exports that occurred over the 1970s.

The Human Capital Legacy of a Trade Embargo
With Matthias Parey and Abhishek Chakravarty  ·  Journal of the European Economic Association, June 2021

We estimate the effects of in-utero exposure to a trade embargo on survival and human capital in an import-dependent developing country.

The Usual Suspects: Do Risk Preference, Altruism, and Health Predict the Response to COVID-19?
With Ketki Sheth  ·  Review of Economics of the Household — Special Issue on COVID-19, October 2020

Using a registered pre-analysis plan, we survey college students during California's stay-at-home order to test whether compliance with social distancing requirements depends on primary preferences and characteristics that affect their marginal benefit from doing so.

Processing Immigration Shocks: Firm Responses on the Innovation Margin
With Rowena Gray and Giulia Montresor  ·  Journal of International Economics, September 2020, Vol. 126

The extent to which firms respond to labor supply shocks has important implications for local and national economies. We exploit firm-level panel data on product and process innovation activities in the United Kingdom and find that the large, unanticipated, low-skill labor supply shock generated by EU enlargement increased process innovation and reduced product innovation.

Increasing Returns to Scale Within Limits: A Model of ICT
With Tianxi Wang  ·  Journal of Economic Theory, September 2020, Vol. 189

A key feature of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) is that they increase the size of the market or the scale of operation for workers in some occupations. We model the scale of operation as the limit up to which the production technology displays increasing returns to scale and explore the implications for income distribution and occupational choice.

From Selling Goods to Selling Services: Firm Responses to Trade Liberalization
With Holger Breinlich and Anson Soderbery  ·  American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, November 2018, Vol. 10 No. 4

We focus on a new channel of adaptation to trade liberalization: the shift toward increased provision of services in lieu of goods production.

Immigration, Trade and Productivity in Services: Evidence from U.K. Firms
With Giovanni Peri and Gianmarco Ottaviano  ·  Journal of International Economics, May 2018, Vol. 112

This paper explores the impact of immigrants on the imports, exports and productivity of service-producing firms in the U.K.

A Short-Run View of What Computers Do: Evidence from a U.K. Tax Incentive
With Paul Gaggl  ·  American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, July 2017, Vol. 9 No. 3

We study the short-run, causal effect of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) adoption on the employment and wage distribution.

Revisiting the Employment Impact of Offshoring
Greg C. Wright  ·  European Economic Review, February 2014, Vol. 66

The productivity gains due to offshoring may, in part, accrue to workers. This paper estimates the magnitude of these gains and compares it to the magnitude of employment loss due to worker displacement.

Immigration, Offshoring and American Jobs
With Giovanni Peri and Gianmarco Ottaviano  ·  American Economic Review, August 2013, Vol. 103 No. 5

We present a model in which tasks of varying complexity are matched to workers of varying skill in order to develop and test predictions regarding the effects of immigration and offshoring on U.S. native-born workers.

Do We Have Enough Workers? The Case of Green Skills in the US
With Dany Bahar · CGD Note 394, April 2026
CGD
International Trade and Labor Markets
Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Economics and Finance, July 2023
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Brookings Publications on Local Economic Development
Brookings Institution
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Is Publicly-Available Firm-Level Data Reliable? Evidence from the UK
With Holger Breinlich & Patrick Nolen · PLOS One, November 2020
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Report on the State of Available Data for the Study of International Trade and FDI
With Feenstra, Lipsey, et al. · NBER Working Paper No. 16254, 2010
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The Dynamics and Differentiation of Latin American Agricultural Exports
With Ben Mandel, 2012
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